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Valuation and fundamentals

Earnings season

The weeks each quarter when most listed companies report results, and the single largest recurring source of single-stock volatility.

US companies report quarterly, and the bulk of the S&P 500 reports within a four-week window that starts a fortnight after each quarter ends. The large banks open it, and the mega-cap technology names in the middle weeks set the tone for the indices.

Prices respond to the gap against expectations, not to the results themselves. A company can grow profit thirty per cent and fall sharply because consensus expected thirty-five, which is why "beat" and "miss" are always measured against the estimate.

Guidance usually moves the stock more than the quarter does. The reported numbers describe a period already priced in; the outlook for the next one resets every forecast, and a strong quarter with weak guidance is a reliably poor combination.

Also known as: earnings · results season · guidance · beat and miss

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Educational definition. It is not investment advice and not a recommendation about any particular instrument.